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<br> Suppose that you model the game tomorrow between the Yankees and the Royals and the lines are -160/ 150 respectively and you model the game with a fair line of -170/ 170. Obviously the underdog is not a good bet since you only get a price of 150 on a game where you predict they should be getting 170. Conversely, the price of -160 is more appealing since the line is better than you have modelled. The line of -170 you predicted converts to a winning percentage of 62.96% as opposed to the actual line of -160 which gives 61.54% - this means that taking the Yankees at a price of -160 gives you an edge of 1.42%.<br><br> <br><br><br><br> <br><br>If you like to bet favourites, you may end up laying 20 or more points more on games. http://206.189.86.171/ 's when you might need an account with a "sharp" sportsbook that doesn't shade their line based on what everybody else is doing. Sharp sp<br><br>